Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Myth: buying in bulk

The next-gen gaming consoles (PlayStation 4, XBox One) contain 8-GB of RAM. That means a sometime jerkyness in games as the console loads scenes into memory from disk. Why so little memory? Wouldn't it be better to just put more RAM in the device, like doubling to 16-GB? Sure, while RAM is expensive for you and me ($50 for 8GB), Sony/Microsoft can buy in bulk and get a cheaper price, like $20. That doesn't make much difference when selling the console for over $400.

Actually, they don't get such savings. "Buying in bulk" is a myth. If it costs us $50/8-GB, then adding that memory to the console will jack up its price by $50. At least.

Let me prove it to you. On NewEgg right this second, you can get a single 8-GB DIMM for your desktop computer for $49.99. On the bulk spot market, the 4-gigabit chips themselves cost $3.11/chip when buying in very large quantities of 10,000 chips at a time. Since you need 16 of those chips to create a DIMM, that comes out to $49.76 per 8-GB.

In other words, within the margin of error, the price for a single DIMM on NewEgg roughly equals the bulk price on the spot market.

Apple's profits: 70% tax rate

Congress is grilling Apple on it's tax avoidance. The problem isn't with Apple, but with Congress rapacious theft of as much money as it can get its hands on.

The United States is unusual in two respects.

The first is that its corporate tax rate is 40% compared to 24% that is average in the world, and the 0% that economists think it should be. The reason economists believe this is because corporate taxes are double taxation: taxed once when the company earns the money, then a second time when dividends are paid to the stock holder.

The second problem is that, unlike other countries, the United States taxes foreign earnings. This causes another example of double taxation: once in the country where Apple earned the money, and then once again in the United States.

Combined, this means triple taxation. With the current max dividen tax rate of 39.4%, the corporate tax of 40%, and the average foreign tax of 24%, the total tax bill becomes 72%.

In other words, for every dollar Apple earns in profits, 72 cents goes to the taxman and 28 cents goes to the stock holder.

Here is a great CATO article on the subject.

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Star Trek 2: warning - you can't unsee it

After the sucky Star Trek reboot, I assumed the series would get better. It didn't, the second installment in the series is much worse. If you are a fan of the Star Trek canon, do yourself a favor and don't see this movie. Once seen, it cannot be unseen.

Saturday, May 11, 2013

Nobody reads the ToS -- not even those who write them

GoGo Inflight is running a promotion right now giving you free Internet access on airplanes from your Blackberry phone/pad. Even if you don’t have a Blackberry device, you can still get the free service by changing your browser identifier to match a Blackberry (instructions below). Here’s the question: is spoofing your browser ID like this in order to get free Internet service illegal under laws like the CFAA ("Computer Fraud and Abuse Act")?

That’s an interesting debate, but there is a further twist: GoGo Inflight’s promotion violates their own Terms of Service (ToS). According to the ToS, you need a "user account" to use the service. However, the Blackberry promotion doesn't give you one, because it triggers off the browser ID. Thus, even if you have a valid Blackberry (and aren't cheating), you are still technically in violation of the Terms of Service.

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

@AP hack: the stock market did not "plunge"

According to all press outlets, the stock market "plunged" today due to @AP getting hacked and reporting explosions at the White House. In fact, stock prices didn't change much at all. Below I've graphed today's S&P 500 stock price. As you can see, it's a flat line hovering within 1% of 1580.




Wednesday, April 10, 2013

A wonkish look at bitcoin economics

Bitcoin is an increasingly popular electronic currency, used both for legitimate and illegal transactions. Economists haven’t taken a serious look at bitcoin yet, so I thought I’d take a stab at it. In particular, I’m going to look at the “intrinsic value” of bitcoin, answering the question whether the recent rapid rise in price (to $240 at the time of writing this) is justified.

The TL;DR version is this: bitcoins have real value (they are not a fantasy), and that value is between $0.01 and $15000.

Monday, April 01, 2013

How to Dress Like a Cyber Warrior OR Looking Like a Tier-Zero Hero

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A lot of ink’s been spent lately on the idea of cyber warfare, cyber defense, the enemies, the allies, what would we do if we had a cyber Pearl Harbor, etc. As one of the foremost experts on all things cyber, I thought I would take a day to explain some of the finer points of this new realm of warfare and how to fit in.

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

Let me hadoop that for you

We are a tool using species. It started with sticks to knock down bananas. For the modern homo sapiens, it's tools like JavaScript and Hadoop.

Today, I was working on a technical problem. I came across this blogpost from 2012 that had close to the answer I was looking for, but it missed a key detail that was important to me.

Well, I follow the author on twitter, and the author follows me. So I sent him a tweet asking if he still had the data around, and whether he could analyze it again to solve my specific question. He responded with "Just let me run a quick hadoop query for you".


Minutes later, he posted the results of the query to GitHub that had exactly what I was looking for.

This all took place within 30 minutes from start to finish. It's possible because we tool using homos have opposable thumbs that can grasp the blogs, the twitters, the github, and the hadoop. I don't know how many servers @jedisct1 has at his disposal, but in theory, with a few keystrokes, he could reach into the cloud (like Amazon's service) and marshall a thousand machines equalling a million dollar super computer to answer this small question for me.